Value Investing Dividend Paying Stock Picks
February 08, 2016 - Dividend Stocks for Today's Market
These Are the 5 Perfect Dividend Stocks for Today's Market by The Street
The nearly decade-long era of ultra-low interest rates has been kind for dividend-paying stocks. Not only have they often offered payouts that are more robust than the yield on 10-Year Treasuries, but they have also racked up spectacular share price gains.
The SPDR S&P Dividend ETF (SDY) for example, has rallied an impressive 215% since the market bottomed out in March, 2009.
But income-oriented investors now face a changing backdrop. Rising bond yields are now surpassing the payout levels of many dividend producers. To stay ahead of the curve, you need to focus on firms that have a long history of rising dividends in any economic climate. That means "dividend aristocrats."
Here are five that currently offer dividend yields ahead of the 10-Year Treasury rate.
1. Abbott Labs (ABT)
This healthcare firm has boosted its payout for 44 straight years (and at least maintained its dividend for a stunning 92 years). To be sure, dividend growth will be modest this year, as earnings are expected to be flat. But analysts are looking for a 12% hike in earnings next year, which should portend a more robust dividend hike. Meanwhile, the current dividend yield stands at 2.50%, just a tick above the 10-Year Treasury yield of 2.49%.
2. Consolidated Edison (ED)
My Grandma bought shares of this New York-based utility year after year, extolling its steady dividend growth. That streak of rising payouts is now in its 42nd year. Utilities are the perfect inflation hedges, as they are allowed to enact rate increases that at least keep up with inflation. This firm's dividend will only grow just a few percentage points each year. But the 3.71% current yield means it will produce better income than the 10-Years for a while to come.
3. AT&T (T)
This isn't the Ma Bell you once remember. Bold investments in media, programming and content are helping to strengthen the firm's wireless business, but also adding a lot of debt to the balance sheet. Still, AT&T insists that there will be ample cash flow to both handle the debt burden and maintain growing payouts. The firm's dividend has grown by exactly 1% per share for nine straight years. Despite the slow growth in the dividend, we're still talking about a 4.8% yield.
4. Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)
This healthcare firm shows the value of compounding, one of Warren Buffett's favorite investment metrics. Back in 1997, J&J traded for $29 a share and offered a $0.43 a share dividend. If you bought shares back then, you'd be receiving annual dividends today of $3.20 a share-and growing. In effect, that 1997 cost basis works out to be an 11% yield today. That's an insightful lesson for younger investors that can lock on to a stock like this today. Two decades from now, the yields on the original cost basis are likely to blow away any sort of comparable fixed income investment.
5. Cincinnati Financial (CINF)
The financial crisis of 2008 broke the growing dividend streak for many financial services firms. But not this multi-line insurance firm, which has boosted its payout for 55 straight years. While this firm's current 2.8% yield is reasonably impressive, know that insurance firms are now entering the sweet spot of their cycle. Not only will rising interest rates boost their net interest margin, but a firming economy should give them more wiggle room on insurance premium increases. That spells higher dividends.
Investors in search of blue chips with above-average dividend yields can always seek out the Dogs of the Dow, which are covered by several ETFs, including the ALPS Sector Dividend Dogs ETF. But those dividend producers aren't always safe bets in a slumping economy. Instead, the stocks noted above are the kinds that will give you growing payouts in good and bad times.
What Is Value Investing?
Value investing is the selection of stocks that are priced less than their intrinsic values. Value investors are looking for stocks of companies that they think the market has undervalued. Markets overreact to good and bad news especailly in uncertain times resulting in stock price movements that do not aligned with the company's long-term fundamentals. The result is an opportunity for value investors to profit by investing when the prices are deflated. Mostly value investors use lower than average price-to-book or price-to-earnings ratios, and/or high dividend yields to purchase stocks.
Forecasting intrinsic value is very subjective. Finding and defining intrinsic value is not the same for everyone. Buy buying hopefully at low enough prices, in case the price goes lower, it won't be as severe to allow you to hold short-term to gain the long-term return.
Value Investing and the Difference Between Big and Small Investors
Millionaire and billionaire investors have the ability to ride out longer and deeper downtrends or bear markets in asset prices where as small investors and traders cannot so easily without losing their entire account equity. If your not one of these types of investors traders, then you should be highly considering and using stop-loss to cut your losses when they are still small and preserve your investing trading capital. Your stop-loss will depend upon how much money you can afford to lose, leverage, and other factors. Allowing for a stop-loss of 8% average for DJIA and S&P500 stocks to 15% to 20% for Nasdaq and penny stocks is maximum suggested amounts to accept.
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