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The Portfolio Prophet is our premium trade alert software for quickly & easily adding Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) to your trading portfolio. The Portfolio Prophet alerts you whenever a new trade is setting up; then, it follows the trade to completion, so you'll know exactly when to change your stop orders which "lock in" profit. You can even customize it based on your risk tolerance - aggressive, moderate, or conservative. As an added bonus, you also get the complete Portfolio Prophet home study course, which teaches you the details behind the trading logic, so you'll know exactly what's going on, no matter what happens in the markets. There's also a quick start guide, and full-color reference manuals that summarize everything taught in the course. We don't know of any other ETF program that's faster and easier to trade than the Portfolio Prophet.
May 02, 2013 - Why Mexico ETF is a Long-term Winner - Review Entire Article Below
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What Is An Exchange Traded Fund?
An exchange-traded fund or ETF is an investment vehicle traded on stock exchanges, much like stocks or bonds. An ETF holds assets such as stocks, bonds, or futures. Institutional investors can redeem large blocks of shares of the ETF (known as "creation units") for a "basket" of the underlying assets or, alternately, exchange the underlying assets for creation units. This creation and redemption of shares enables institutions to engage in arbitrage and causes the value of the ETF to approximate the net asset value of the underlying assets. Most ETFs track an index, such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average or the S&P 500.
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An ETF is Like a Mutual Fund and a Closed End Fund
An ETF combines the valuation feature of a mutual fund or unit investment trust, which can be purchased or redeemed at the end of each trading day for its net asset value, with the tradability feature of a closed-end fund, which trades throughout the trading day at prices that may be substantially more or less than its net asset value. Closed-end funds are not considered to be exchange-traded funds, even though they are funds and are traded on an exchange. ETFs have been available in the US since 1993 and in Europe since 1999. ETFs traditionally have been index funds, but in 2008 the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission began to authorize the creation of actively-managed ETFs.
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May 02, 2013 - Why Mexico ETF is a Long-term Winner by Zacks Investment Research
President Obama is visiting Mexico this week and as stated in the WSJ article--The Rise of the 'Aztec Tiger'--he will find the country very different from its usual image here. Mexico is currently going through a turnaround under the new president.
We have been positive on the Mexico ETF for quite some time and it remains one of our top choices among the Emerging Markets ETFs, with a Zacks ETF #1 (Strong Buy) rank. It is an excellent long-term investment for the reasons stated below.
President Nieto Delivering on His Promises
President Nieto seems committed to shaking up the economy by introducing critical reforms in important areas. Within about four months of assuming office, he has initiated action on reforms in telecom, energy and education sectors and revamping tax codes. He also signed a new law that restricts injections used in the past by vested interests to block regulatory measures.
Further, he has demonstrated that he is not afraid to take on powerful individuals and institutions, in order to tackle corruption.
Economists think that these critical reforms could push growth to about 6%. Both S&P and Fitch have expressed optimism about the reforms and indicated that the country’s credit rating (already investment grade) could be upgraded further.
Economy on sound footing; Fiscal consolidation on track
As a result of open market policies, fiscal discipline, labor reforms and prudent macroeconomic measures adopted by the country, the economy has been on a sound footing--currently growing at about 4%.
Things look good on the fiscal front as well, with a budget deficit of just 2.5% of GDP compared with 8.6% of GDP for the US, for 2011. Gross debt stands at about 43% of GDP, compared with more than 107% for the US, per IMF.
While credit as a percentage of GDP has doubled in Brazil to about 50% in last ten years and the credit boom seems to be finally coming to an end; in Mexico, it is about 20%, indicating significant room for expansion.
The central bank left the benchmark rate unchanged last week, though inflation touched 4.7% earlier this month, as it expects inflation to come down to about 3% later this year.
Thanks to surging foreign investments, foreign exchange reserves touched a new high of $167 billion rcently and the Peso has appreciated more than 5% against the US dollar this year.
New China of manufacturing?
China’s average manufacturing wages, when adjusted for productivity, are above those in Mexico now, according to a study conducted by the Boston Consulting Group (BCG). BCG forecasts that by 2015, the fully loaded cost of hiring Chinese workers will be 25% higher than the cost of hiring Mexican workers.
Further, Mexico’s proximity to the U.S. means that the companies can ship goods to the customers much faster and at a much lower cost—as the price of oil has gone up three times since the start of the century. Moreover, the goods coming from Mexico can enter the US duty-free due to NAFTA.
Further, the two leaders are expected to address regulatory and border issues this week, to foster more cross-border trade.
As a result, many US manufacturers are now shifting production to Mexico from China. Last year, Mexico’s manufactured exports were more than the rest of Latin America combined. Based on current trends, it is estimated that by 2018 America will import more from Mexico than from any other country.
Rising Middle Class and Soaring Consumption
As a result of macroeconomic stability, middle class wealth has been rising. Averageincome has doubled in the past 15 years and the average number of school years Mexicans attend has doubled in the past four decades.
Improving education and skills, and rising participation of women in the workforce has led to improving family incomes.
Rising family incomes and urbanization have resulted in upward mobility and increasing consumption. Going forward, domestic consumption is expected to continue to fuel growth.
iShares MSCI Mexico Capped Investable Market Index Fund ( EWW )
Launched in March 1996, the fund now has more than $3.1 billion in AUM. The assets are invested in a basket of 46 holdings; America Movil occupies the top spot with almost 18% asset allocation.
Among sectors, Consumer Staples have the heaviest allocation (29%) while Telecom and Materials round out the top three. Thanks to its heavy exposure to consumer staples and telecom sectors, the fund will benefit from growing consumer demand in the country.
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Wall Street Sector Selector
Free email newsletter. John Nyaradi is Publisher of Wall Street Sector Selector: Professional ETF Trading, an online publication specializing in news, analysis and information regarding exchange traded funds. John's writes a weekly column for Investor's Alley, a widely read internet site, and his investment articles have appeared in many online publications including Dow Jones Market Watch, Trading Markets, Money Show, Yahoo Finance, Investors Insight, Fidelity, SeekingAlpha, ETF Daily News, iStock Analyst and many others.
Market Timing Signals & ETF Sector Rotation Investment Newsletter
The strategy behind the Sector Timing Report is a process of continuous upgrading your investment holdings to maximize portfolio returns. Our upgrading strategy works because as economic and market conditions change, new sector leaders rise to the top of our proprietary sector scoring system. We buy these top ranked sectors and hold them for as long as they outperform their sector peers. When a holding starts to drop in rankings we sell it and move on the the next hot sectors in the market. Rebalancing our holdings monthly keeps us in the latest leadership sectors at all times.
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At last, a trading system that buys the right ETFs at the right time, time after time! By combining the power of Exchange Traded Funds with professional sector rotation, you can ride the bull instead of getting trampled by the herd, reduce your risk and consistently profit by following the "big money" into the most profitable sectors in the world.
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